By Christine Shawcroft, London CND Vice Chair
The Doomsday Clock, set by the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, has been moved on from 90 seconds to midnight last year to 89 seconds to midnight this year. Need we be worried about being a mere one second closer to catastrophe? Well, yes. 90 seconds was a warning of imminent disaster which should have spurred governments around the world to take drastic action. But they didn’t, so now we’re staring the destruction of human ‘civilisation’ (I use the term advisedly) in the face.
Apart from the real risks of nuclear war, the Bulletin scientists are very concerned about climate change, the potential misuse of biological science, and a variety of emerging technologies, such as AI weapons which could decide to kill and destroy without orders from a human. The world has never been so close to catastrophe, point out members of the Science and Security Board that set the Clock in consultation with the Bulletin’s Board of Sponsors, which includes nine winners of the Nobel prize.
The Bulletin itself was set up in 1945 by Albert Einstein, Robert Oppenheimer and University of Chicago scientists who worked on the Manhattan Project during World War Two. The Doomsday Clock was set up two years later. Clearly, world leaders feel that they can safely ignore the musings of intellectual dullards such as Einstein. Maybe they think they know better?
The people of Britain aren’t so sure. A recent YouGov poll, carried out at the end of January, shows that two thirds of us feel that nuclear war is the threat most likely to cause human extinction, up from just over 50% in 2023. The polling is remarkably consistent, with groups scoring within a couple of percentage points of each other regardless of age, gender, social class, country and region.